Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.884276 1.070255 1.266433 1.487146 1.727014 1.978428 2.260525
2025-02-09 0.680307 0.948984 1.251883 1.611401 2.020068 2.464655 2.979727
2025-02-16 0.551850 0.858746 1.221928 1.668694 2.190949 2.771697 3.456723
2025-02-23 0.437689 0.765361 1.172727 1.691090 2.312451 3.016582 3.859708
2025-03-02 0.315558 0.638698 1.064627 1.627136 2.319302 3.118675 4.089954
2025-03-09 0.216705 0.524049 0.957014 1.551433 2.302024 3.184630 4.271646
2025-03-16 0.151847 0.444649 0.885376 1.512240 2.321711 3.287990 4.491251
2025-03-23 0.118587 0.408910 0.869499 1.541871 2.423899 3.487713 4.822291
2025-03-30 0.086139 0.365568 0.837179 1.545544 2.490383 3.642151 5.098002
2025-04-06 0.055351 0.314016 0.786062 1.518895 2.514633 3.742559 5.307218
2025-04-13 0.044617 0.303850 0.798509 1.580028 2.652052 3.981762 5.682907
2025-04-20 0.036212 0.296468 0.814206 1.645030 2.794138 4.226601 6.065459
2025-04-27 0.031236 0.299262 0.850425 1.745451 2.991038 4.549531 6.555206
2025-05-04 0.028424 0.308270 0.898091 1.864119 3.214434 4.908384 7.092229
2025-05-11 0.021313 0.298756 0.911721 1.931546 3.368433 5.179452 7.521581
2025-05-18 0.012415 0.274294 0.896021 1.953951 3.461172 5.373156 7.856529
2025-05-25 0.002804 0.222497 0.822822 1.885372 3.427758 5.405343 7.992022
2025-06-01 NaN 0.173046 0.744588 1.803177 3.371574 5.405499 8.085539
2025-06-08 NaN 0.140642 0.694421 1.760727 3.367039 5.468995 8.254668
2025-06-15 NaN 0.129897 0.690845 1.792850 3.466762 5.666886 8.590828
2025-06-22 NaN 0.113563 0.671097 1.796840 3.525744 5.811369 8.860030
2025-06-29 NaN 0.091977 0.633201 1.767933 3.536196 5.891548 9.047997
2025-07-06 NaN 0.091248 0.650907 1.834215 3.684030 6.152017 9.462732